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In recent methodological work the well known autoregressive conditional duration approach, originally introduced by Engle and Russell (1998), has been supplemented by the involvement of an unobservable stochastic process which accompanies the underlying process of durations via a discrete...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012736227
We propose a new framework for modelling the time dependence in duration processes being in force on financial markets. The pioneering ACD model introduced by Engle and Russell (1998) will be extended in a manner that the duration process will be accompanied by an unobservable stochastic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012736228
The integer-valued moving average model is advanced to model the number of transactions in intra-day data of stocks. The conditional mean and variance properties are discussed and model extensions to include, e.g., explanatory variables are offered. Least squares and generalized method of moment...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012721924
A bivariate integer-valued moving average (BINMA) model is proposed. The BINMA model allows for both positive and negative correlation between the counts. This model can be seen as an inverse of the conditional duration model in the sense that short durations in a time interval correspond to a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012784655
The current paper studies equity markets for the contagion of squared index returns as a proxy for stock market volatility, which has not been studied earlier. The study examines squared stock index returns of equity in 35 markets, including the US, UK, Euro Zone and BRICS (Brazil, Russia,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012022043
distribution. The moments with conditional heteroscedasticity have been discussed. In a Monte Carlo experiment, it was found that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012022130
We propose serial correlation-robust asymptotic confidence bands for the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and its functional, viz. the area under ROC curve (AUC), estimated by quasi-maximum likelihood in the binormal model. Our simulation experiments confirm that this new method...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013019723
-order moments are provided. The CLS, FGLS and QML estimators are discussed. Empirically, we find evidence of long memory for squared …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013017294
The daily number of occupied hotel rooms in three large Swedish cities is modelled by an integer-valued and binomial autoregression. The model includes the capacity constraint and price variables are incorporated through the parameters of the model. The model implies a duration of hotel visit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014035439
GARCH (1,1) models are widely used for modelling processes with time varying volatility. These include financial time series, which can be particularly heavy tailed. In this paper, we propose a log-transform-based least squares estimator (LSE) for the GARCH (1,1) model. The asymptotic properties...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011111078