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The aim of this study is to assess empirically to what extent the degree of heterogeneity of consumers’ inflation perceptions and expectations is driven by the flow of information related to current and future price developments in the euro area. We conduct the analysis both on an aggregate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003963761
This paper considers the problem of aggregation in the case of large linear dynamic panels, where each micro unit is … Pesaran (2003), an optimal aggregate function is derived, and the limiting behavior of the aggregation error is investigated … which "observed" inflation persistence at the aggregate level is due to aggregation and/or common unobserved factors. Our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009010169
The issue of forecast aggregation is to determine whether it is better to forecast a series directly or instead … results, it is generally accepted that forecast aggregation is an empirical issue. Empirical results in the literature often … go unexplained. This leaves forecasters in the dark when confronted with the option of forecast aggregation. We take our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009238003
This paper considers the problem of aggregation in the case of large linear dynamic panels, where each micro unit is … Pesaran (2003), an optimal aggregate function is derived, and the limiting behavior of the aggregation error is investigated … which ムobservedメ inflation persistence at the aggregate level is due to aggregation and/or common unobserved factors. Our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013129942
The issue of forecast aggregation is to determine whether it is better to forecast a series directly or instead … results, it is generally accepted that forecast aggregation is an empirical issue. Empirical results in the literature often … go unexplained. This leaves forecasters in the dark when confronted with the option of forecast aggregation. We take our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013122152
This paper considers the problem of aggregation in the case of large linear dynamic panels, where each micro unit is … Pesaran (2003), an optimal aggregate function is derived, and the limiting behavior of the aggregation error is investigated … which ‘observed' inflation persistence at the aggregate level is due to aggregation and/or common unobserved factors. Our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013038262
-augmented Divisia inside monetary aggregates to the conventional Divisia monetary aggregates, at all levels of monetary aggregation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012836812
calculated as a suitably weighted mean of submeans. An analogous property of index numbers is called consistency in aggregation … aggregation may be interpreted as consistency between the treatment of ratios and differences. Also, many of the classical axioms …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012722445
relevant subgroups as well as for the whole data. A method of calculation is said to be consistent in aggregation if it gives … definition of consistency in aggregation is given for a general class of aggregation rules. We show that any aggregation method … algebraic methods to derive certain properties of index numbers satisfying consistency in aggregation. In particular, we show …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012722446
This work aims to compare the forecast efficiency of different types of methodologies applied to Brazilian consumer inflation (IPCA). We will compare forecasting models using disaggregated and aggregated data from IPCA over twelve months ahead. We used IPCA in a monthly basis, over the period...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013007692