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Our current inflation stemmed from a fiscal shock. The Fed is slow to react. Why? Will the Fed's slow reaction spur more inflation? I write a simple model that encompasses the Fed's mild projections and its slow reaction, and traditional views that inflation will surge without swift rate rises....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210124
In order to explain slow growth and high unemployment in the Euro area, in particular if compared to the USA, we follow a macroeconomic policy view focussing on the more restrictive stance of monetary, fiscal and wage policies in the Euro area. In the present paper we focus on the particular...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005241854
In 1998, following some 10 years of structural reforms that began during the late Soviet era under the Perestroika processes and continued after the collapse of the USSR, Russia has recorded its first year of economic growth. Then, with virtually no advanced warning, by the of August 1998,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013112330
The fiscal theory states that inflation adjusts so that the real value of government debt equals the present value of real primary surpluses. Monetary policy remains important. The central bank can set an interest rate target, which determines the path of expected inflation, while news about the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014079501
This paper investigates why Europe fared particularly poorly in the global economic crisis that began in August 2007. It questions the self-portrait of Europe as the victim of external shocks, pushed off track by reckless policies pursued elsewhere. It argues instead that Europe had not only...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013150051
The fiscal theory states that inflation adjusts so that the real value of government debt equals the present value of real primary surpluses. Monetary policy remains important. The central bank can set an interest rate target, which determines the path of expected inflation, while news about the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013361983
This paper investigates why Europe fared particularly poorly in the global economic crisis that began in August 2007. It questions the self-portrait of Europe as the victim of external shocks, pushed off track by reckless policies pursued elsewhere. It argues instead that Europe had not only...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008509462
Even if shortening the maturity of government debt does not put downward pressure on government bond yields, debt management may still become an important policy tool to serve quantity or fiscal objectives at very low interest rates. The US example in the 1930s and the recent Japanese case...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004997959
Türkiye ekonomisinde 2000 yılı başından itibaren kronikleşen enflasyonu düşürebilmek amacıyla; kamu finansmanının disipline edilmesi, yapısal önlemlerin alınması ve kur taahhütlerinde bulunulması gibi ortodoks istikrar programlarına özgü önlemleri içeren ve 3 yıllık...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005651271
The recent debate over monetary policy strategies concludes that monetary targeting in practice lead to very similar patterns of central bank behaviour. This raises the question why central banks insist on the strategies they use. In this paper, we develop an answer from political economy. After...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005479280