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This article is an empirical analysis on the optimal level of disaggregation by sectors and the best econometric strategy in order to forecast Mexican inflation. We compare different disaggregate modeling strategies based on: 1) univariate ARIMA models, 2) panel data methodology, 3) vector error...
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The aim of this document is to provide a forecasting tool that facilitates understanding economic developments in a timely manner. This is pursued through the Bridge Model approach by using it to relate a large set of monthly indicators to Chilean GDP and its main components. The outcome is a...
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This paper estimates demand curve equations for Chilean non-copper exports, focusing on the role of the Real Exchange Rate (RER) during the period 1990-2013. This research is motivated by the substantial real depreciation over the last year which has led the Real Effective Exchange Rate (REER)...
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