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This paper is intended as a guide to building insurance risk (loss) models. A typical model for insurance risk, the so-called collective risk model, treats the aggregate loss as having a compound distribution with two main components: one characterizing the arrival of claims and another...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009323912
In this paper we discuss the calibration of models built on mean-reverting processes combined with Markov regime-switching (MRS). We propose a method that greatly reduces the computational burden induced by the introduction of independent regimes and perform a simulation study to test its...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009323907
We develop a simple test for deviations from power law tails, which is based on the asymptotic properties of the empirical distribution function. We use this test to answer the question whether great natural disasters, financial crashes or electricity price spikes should be classified as dragon...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009323909
In the last decade Markov-regime switching (MRS) models have been extensively used for modeling the unique behavior of spot prices in wholesale electricity markets. This popularity stems from the models’ relative parsimony and the ability to capture the stylized facts, in particular the mean...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010626145
In this paper, we present a procedure for consistent estimation of the severity and frequency distributions based on incomplete insurance data and demonstrate that ignoring the thresholds leads to a serious underestimation of the ruin probabilities. The event frequency is modelled with a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009003621
Property Claim Services (PCS) provides indices for losses resulting from catastrophic events in the US. In this paper we study these indices and take a closer look at distributions underlying insurance claims. Surprisingly, the lognormal distribution seems to give a better fit than the Paretian...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009003628
A typical model for insurance risk, the so-called collective risk model, has two main components: one characterizing the frequency (or incidence) of events and another describing the severity (or size or amount) of gain or loss resulting from the occurrence of an event. Here we focus on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009004194
This chapter develops on risk processes which, perhaps, are most suitable for computer visualization of all insurance objects. At the same time, risk processes are basic instruments for any non-life actuary – they are vital for calculating the amount of loss that an insurance company may incur.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010626155
This paper is intended as a guide to building insurance risk (loss) models. A typical model for insurance risk, the so-called collective risk model, treats the aggregate loss as having a compound distribution with two main components: one characterizing the arrival of claims and another...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008678287
This paper is intended as a guide to building insurance risk (loss) models. A typical model for insurance risk, the so-called collective risk model, treats the aggregate loss as having a compound distribution with two main components: one characterizing the arrival of claims and another...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008663370