This paper studies the design of optimal monetary policy rules for emerging economies confronted to sharp capital outflows and speculative attacks. We extend Taylor type monetary policy rules by allowing the central bank to give some weight to the level of precautionary foreign reserve balances...

We study the adjustment process of a small open economy to a sudden worsening of external conditions. To model the sudden stop, we use a highly non-linear specification that captures credit constraints in a convenient way. The advantage of our approach is that the effects of the shock become...

The paper analyzes the integration of euro area sovereign bond markets during the European sovereign debt crisis. It tests for contagion (i.e., an intensification in the transmission of shocks across countries), fragmentation (a reduction in spillovers) and flight-to-quality patterns, exploiting...

In diesem Beitrag wird erstens die These aufgestellt, dass die konjunkturelle Erholung in der Eurozone allein auf die Ankündigung des OMT-Programms (Outright Monetary Transactions) durch die EZB zurückzuführen ist. Zweitens wird dargelegt, dass die Sparpolitik eine nicht tragbare Verschuldung...

Dieser Beitrag beleuchtet die Entwicklung der europäischen Schuldenkrise und die Drift der politischen Aktivitäten in einer Keynes'schen Perspektive. Er nimmt Bezug auf eine frühe Schrift von Keynes, The Economic Consequences of the Peace, in der Keynes die Probleme exzessiver externer...

There is a consensus among the majority of economists that the credit supply is limited by current household saving. If governments or foreigners ran deficits, they would absorb this limited saving so that firms could not borrow any longer and had to reduce their investment. This is the...

This paper analyzes the impact of large-scale, unconventional asset purchases by advanced country central banks on emerging market economies (EMEs) during 2008-2014. I show that there was substantial heterogeneity in the way EME currency, equity, and long-term sovereign bond markets were...

The paper analyzes the integration of euro area sovereign bond markets during the European sovereign debt crisis. It tests for contagion (i.e., an intensification in the transmission of shocks across countries), fragmentation (a reduction in spillovers) and flight-to-quality patterns, exploiting...

For the first time in almost a decade, the US Federal Reserve raised interest rates at the end of 2015 - an initial step toward normalizing monetary policy which has been very expansive since the onset of the financial crisis. Ahead of the move, it was feared that the interest rate reversal...

Erstmals seit fast zehn Jahren hat die US-Notenbank Fed Ende 2015 die Leitzinsen erhöht - ein erster Schritt auf dem Weg zu einer Normalisierung der Geldpolitik, die seit Beginn der Finanzkrise sehr expansiv ausgerichtet ist. Im Vorfeld wurde befürchtet, dass die Zinswende erhebliche...