Showing 71 - 80 of 7,553
We present results of an experiment on expectation formation in an asset market. Participants to our experiment must provide forecasts of the stock future return to computerized utility-maximizing investors, and are rewarded according to how well their forecasts perform in the market. In the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010328471
theories have assumed that the U-shape is caused by unmet expectations that are felt painfully in midlife but beneficially … abandoned and experienced with less regret during old age. In a unique panel of 132,609 life satisfaction expectations matched … support theories that unmet expectations drive the age U-shape in wellbeing. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010328987
We examine the behavior of forecasts for real GDP growth using a large panel of individual forecasts from 30 advanced and emerging economies during 1989-2010. Our main findings are as follows. First, our evidence does not support the validity of the sticky information model (Mankiw and Reis,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010329450
This paper analyses retirement expectations and outcomes using the two waves of the UK Retirement Survey, undertaken in … 1988-89 and 1994. We argue that responses to questions on expectations are not straightforward to interpret where … individuals are asked to report point expectations. As in the studies for the US by Bernheim, the evidence here suggests that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010330344
effect of wealth shocks on household consumption and individual expectations of the future. Many household experienced a … significant wealth shocks, but these shocks led to modest spending effects and small revisions to expectations regarding future … bequests. Expectations of bequests seem particularly tied to housing wealth. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010331053
cultural identity and financial expectations and by large unrelated to economic background variables like income inequality. We … find evidence that negative financial expectations are positively related to Euroskepticism in Western European countries …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010333236
Gender discrimination in South Asia is a well-documented fact. However, gender is only one of an individual's many identities. This paper investigates how gender discrimination depends on the social identities of interacting parties. We use an experimental approach to identify gender...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010333624
We study the term structure of disagreement of professional forecasters for key macroeconomic variables. We document a novel set of facts: 1) forecasters disagree at all horizons, including the very long run; 2) the shape of the term structure of disagreement differs markedly across variables:...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010333635
candidate is expectations: what people expect could affect how they feel about what actually occurs. In a real-effort experiment …, we manipulate the rational expectations of subjects and check whether this manipulation influences their effort provision …-based reference-dependent preferences: if expectations are high, subjects work longer and earn more money than if expectations are low. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010333977
State subsidies to R & D or innovative investments in firms are organized in many different ways. Examples from the plethora of extant subsidy instruments are tax incentives, grants to researchers, project grants, loans, conditional loans, and grants with royalty rights. Very little is currently...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010334808