This paper introduces a representation of an integrated vector time series in which the coefficient of multiple correlation computed from the long-run covariance matrix of the innovation sequences is a primitive parameter of the model. Based on this representation, a notion of near cointegration...

This paper analyzes empirically whether the exchange rates and crude oil prices have explanatory power over Indian Stock market prices or not. The data used for this study are daily stock price indexes of BSE Sensex, Crude oil price and exchange rates for the period 2nd January 1991 – 12th...

The paper is focused on aspects regarding fiscal policy sustainability inRomania. Analyzing the theoretical foundations of fiscal policy sustainability it could beidentified a methodology for econometric tests to be carried out and to put forward de factopublic debt long-run situation at the...

This paper employs response surface regressions based on simulation experiments to calculate distribution functions for some well-known unit root and cointegration test statistics. The principal contributions of the paper are a set of data files that contain estimated response surface...

Are financial markets efficient? One proposition that seems to contradict this is Shiller’s finding of excess volatility in asset prices and its resulting rejection of the discounted cash flow model. This paper replicates Shiller’s approach for a different data set and extends his analysis...

This paper investigates the finite-sample properties of the smooth transition-based cointegration test proposed by Kapetanios et al. (2006) when the data generating process under the alternative hypothesis is a globally stationary second order LSTR model. The provided procedure describes an...

This paper examines the underlying parity conditions upon which real interest parity (RIP) is predicted for some Asian countries relative to the U.S. and Japan over a period (1978–2009) containing significant changes using the multivariate cointegration procedure of Johansen et al. (2000) that...

This study examines the relationship between energy consumption and economic growth for the economy of Romania over the period 2000-2011 within a multivariate framework. A cointegration and error correction model is employed to infer the causal relationship. Cointegration test reveals a long-run...

We examine the properties of several residual-based cointegration tests when long run parameters are subject to multiple shifts driven by an unobservable Markov process. Unlike earlier work, which considered one-off deterministic breaks, our approach has the advantage of allowing for an...