We develop a robust optimal dynamic hedging strategy that takes both downside risks and market incompleteness into account for an agent who fears model misspecification. The robust agent is assumed to minimize the shortfall between the assets and liabilities under an endogenous worst case...

We develop a robust optimal dynamic hedging strategy that takes both downside risks and market incompleteness into account for an agent who fears model misspecification. The robust agent is assumed to minimize the shortfall between the assets and liabilities under an endogenous worst case...

We search for a trading strategy and the associated robust price of unhedgeable assets in incomplete markets under the acknowledgement of model uncertainty. Our set-up is that we postulate an agent who wants to maximise the expected surplus by choosing an optimal investment strategy....

We develop a dual-control method for approximating investment strategies in incomplete environments that emerge from the presence of trading constraints. Convex duality enables the approximate technology to generate lower and upper bounds on the optimal value function. The mechanism rests on...

This paper deals with the numerical approximation of backward stochastic differential equations (BSDEs). We propose a new algorithm which is based on the regression later approach. Under some regularity assumptions, the solution of a forward backward stochastic differential equation (FBSDE) can...

We extrapolate interest rate yield curves for the purpose of discounting very long-dated pension liabilities and insurance contracts. The extrapolation uses a no-arbitrage term structure model estimated on liquid euro swap instruments with maturities between 5 and 20 years. The extrapolation...

The Solvency II framework challenges insurers to evaluate and manage their embedded balance sheet risks appropriately. However, insurances hold balance sheet items, for which closed-form solutions and market prices are not available. Pure Monte Carlo valuation requires nested simulations, which...

We address two empirical issues related to the long end of the yield curve based on euro swap rates. First, for maturities longer than 20 years we find evidence for an `excess' downward slope that cannot be explained by convexity. Second, volatility at the very long end of the yield curve is...

We introduce a robust investment strategy to hedge long dated liabilities under model misspecification and incomplete bond markets. A robust agent who worries about misspecified bond premia follows a min-max expected shortfall criterion to protect against model uncertainty. We employ a backward...

Time-consistent valuations (i.e. pricing operators) can be created by backward iteration of one-period valuations. In this paper we investigate the continuous-time limits of well-known actuarial premium principles when such backward iteration procedures are applied. This method is applied to an...