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The paper presents and tests Dynamic Value at Risk (VaR) estimation procedures for equity index returns. Volatility clustering and leptokurtosis are well-documented characteristics of such time series. An ARMA (1, 1)-GARCH (1, 1) ap- proach models the inherent autocorrelation and dynamic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011259375
The European Union carbon market is undergoing rapid development and its interdependence with fossil fuel markets is increasingly important for energy investors. In this study, exponential general autoregressive conditional heteroskedastic models, extreme value theory and copulas are used to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011264189
values theory VaR model. Even in 2008 financial crisis, the conditional EVT model is more accurate and reliable for … accuracy models like the conditional EVT model, and this is the case for the assets being studied in this paper. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009399186
Theory (EVT) and evaluate different methods that may be used to calculate VaR ranging from well known econometrics models of … GARCH and its variants to EVT based models which focus specifically on the tails of the distribution. We apply Univariate … volatility indices. We show with empirical evidence that EVT can be successfully applied to financial market return series for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010730235
-extreme-value-based semiparametric approaches. To assess portfolio risk in six Asian markets, we incorporate a combination of extreme value theory (EVT … suggests that the Clayton copula-EVT evinces the best performance regardless of the shapes of the return distributions, and … that in general the copulas with the EVT provide better estimations of VaRs than the copulas with conventionally employed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010867672
This paper employs the Extreme Value Theory (EVT) to measure the 'Value at Risk' (VaR) of EUA futures prices. The … results show that during the sample period: first, the EVT approach can be used to reliably measure the extreme risk of carbon …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010669970
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