autoregressive processes revealing time-varying stochastic volatility. The factor volatilities capture risk inherent to the term … additional determinants of future excess returns. Finally, we illustrate that the yield and volatility factors are closely con … ; yield curve risk ; stochastic volatility ; factor models ; macroeconomic fundamentals …

system stability. Accordingly, we empirically test volatility dynamics of the tenyear sovereign bond yields of the 2004 EU …

autoregressive processes with stochastic volatility. The factor volatilities parsimoniously capture risk inherent to the term … illustrate that the yield and volatility factors are closely related to industrial capacity utilization, inflation, monetary … policy and employment growth. -- Term Structure Modelling ; Yield Curve Risk ; Stochastic Volatility ; Factor Models …