This paper investigates nonlinear pricing kernels in which the risk factor is endogenously determined and preferences restrict the definition of the pricing kernel. These kernels potentially generate the empirical performance of nonlinear and multi-factor models, while maintaining empirical...

This paper investigates the implications of mixtures of affine, quadratic, and nonlinear models for the term structure of volatility. The dynamics of the term structure of interest rates appear to exhibit pronounced time-varying or stochastic volatility. Ahn, Dittmar, and Gallant (2000) provide...

This paper theoretically explores the characteristics underpinning quadratic term structure models, QTSMs, which designate the yield on a bond as a quadratic function of underlying state variables. We develop a comprehensive QTSM, which is maximally flexible and thus encompasses the features of...

This paper investigates nonlinear pricing kernels in which the risk factor is endogenously determined and preferences restrict the definition of the pricing kernel. These kernels potentially generate the empirical performance of nonlinear and multifactor models, while maintaining empirical power...

Dollar-denominated emerging market bonds are marketed to investors as a vehicle for gaining exposure to emerging fixed income markets while avoiding exposure to currency risk. However, the development literature suggests that dollarization of debt leads to increased probability of financial...

We conduct a systematic examination of the returns to initial coin offerings (ICOs) throughout the hype cycle using hand-compiled data on all trading ICOs from 2014 to 2019. We demonstrate that ICOs persistently outperform non-ICO cryptocurrencies during both the market boom and crash. We then...

United States Treasury securities are traditionally viewed in academics and practice as being free of default risk. In principle, nominal outstanding Treasury debt can always be repaid by issuing fiat currency. The same does not hold true, however, for inflation-indexed debt. This leads the...

We analyze the impact of emerging-market sovereign bonds on emerging-market corporate bonds by examining their spanning enhancement, price discovery, and issuance effects. We find that the effect of spanning enhancement is positive and large; over one-fifth of the information in corporate yield...

We propose a novel method of estimating default probabilities using equity option data. The resulting default probabilities are highly correlated with estimates of default probabilities extracted from CDS spreads, which assume constant recovery rates. Additionally, the option implied default...

Standard applications of the consumption-based asset pricing model make the assumption that goods and services within the nondurable consumption bundle are substitutes. We estimate substitution elasticities between different consumption bundles and show that households cannot substitute energy...