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–weight of the evidence approach to decision making from the A Treatise on Probability, that Keynes integrated into the General … theorist like Keynes, is that decision makers are horribly ignorant of the laws of the probability calculus when making … decisions and thus make all kinds of errors and mistakes that could be corrected if the decision makers would restudy basic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012950042
Keynes made it clear to Townshend in their 1937-38 exchanges that Townshend's assessment, that Keynes ‘s theory of liquidity preference in the General Theory was based on Keynes's non numerical probabilities and weight of evidence(argument)analysis from the A Treatise on Probability, was...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012862428
Eight centuries ago, Thomas Aquinas clearly differentiated between probability and uncertainty in decision making. He … the just price was likely to be inaccurate, due to missing or incomplete information so that the best one could do in a … possibly upper bounds) bound on the part of the buyer, where it was likely that the just price would lie, after a process of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014115385
Although development generally refers to a broad concept, the quest for development in Sub-Saharan Africa has been biased by ideological considerations which made abstraction of local conditions and people's aspirations. The prevalent development models have used increased national income as a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010420609
Although development generally refers to a broad concept, the quest for development in Sub-Saharan Africa has been biased by ideological considerations which made abstraction of local conditions and people's aspirations. The prevalent development models have used increased national income as a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010362577
This synopsis contains excerpts from and novel introductions to the four chapters constituting “FairEconomy. Crises, Culture, Competition and the Role of Law”, a monograph co-authored and published by the late Wolfgang Fikentscher, Philipp Hacker and Rupprecht Podszun in 2013. In honor and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012993422
The model of perfect competition is one of the most famous, most important, and most misunderstood concepts in economics. Rather than aiming to be a full-blown model of real-world competitive markets, the perfect competition model isolates the decentralized coordination mechanism inherent in all...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014536299
The concept of competitiveness is a term widely discussed when defining a range of policy issues. While this concept …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011114546
[Eliminating history from economic thought] Formal analysis, in which maximizing agents use today's 'true' model of the economy to form expectation upon which they then base their behaviour, trivializes the role of the future in economic life and ignores the possibility that the past's models,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010291900
In der Ökonomik tritt der zirkuläre unechte Fortschritt auf, der sich z.B. vom kumulativen, besonders für die Naturwissenschaften charakteristischen Fortschritt abgrenzt. Die Ideen- bzw. Dogmengeschichte kann somit eine wertvolle Erkenntnisquelle sein. In diesem Papier wird das Konzept der...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292660