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We develop a model of rational bubbles, based on the assumptions of an unknown potential market size and delegation of investment decisions. In a bubble, the price of an asset rises above its steady-state value, which must be justified by rational expectations about possible future price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010270143
We combine general equilibrium theory and théorie générale of stochastic processes to derive structural results about equilibrium state prices.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010272583
We investigate the dynamics of prices, information and expectations in a competitive, noisy, dynamic asset pricing equilibrium model. We show that prices are farther away from (closer to) fundamentals compared with average expectations if and only if traders over- (under-) rely on public...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010272747
Guasoni (2006) introduced a simple condition for the absence of arbitrage opportunities. In this note we show that his results remain valid under a weaker notion of arbitrage which arises by excluding liquidation costs from the value process of a portfolio.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274720
We propose a theory that jointly accounts for an asset illiquidity and for the asset price potential over-reliance on public information. We argue that, when trading frequencies differ across traders, asset prices reflect investors' Higher Order Expectations (HOEs) about the two factors that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274821
Market Maker unter Wolken – Wettereffekte am deutschen Aktienmarkt Aus der psychologischen Literatur zum Verhalten an Wertpapiermärkten ist bekannt, dass neben anderen Parametern Stimmungen und Emotionen als personale Einflussfaktoren die Renditeerwartungen und die Risikowahrnehmung von...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014523274
This paper econometrically models the dynamics of Swedish government bond (SGB) yields. It examines whether the short-term interest rate has a decisive influence on long-term SGB yields, after controlling for other macroeconomic and financial variables, such as consumer price inflation, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014581759
This paper econometrically models the dynamics of long-term Chinese government bond (CGB) yields based on key macroeconomic and financial variables. It deploys autoregressive distributive lag (ARDL) models to examine whether the short-term interest rate has a decisive influence on the long-term...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014581774
This paper examines the dynamics of euro-denominated (EUR) long-term interest rate swap yields. It shows that the short-term interest rate has an economically and statistically significant effect on EUR swap yields of different maturity tenors, after controlling for various key macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014581807
This paper critically reviews both mainstream and Keynesian empirical studies of interest rate dynamics. It assesses the key findings of a selected number of these studies, surveying the debates between the mainstream and the Keynesian schools. It also explores the debates on interest rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014581885