This paper investigates estimation of extreme risk in a number of stock markets in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries , Saudi, Kuwait, and United Arab Emirates, in addition to S& P 500 stock index, using the Generalized Pareto Distribution (GPD) model. The estimated tails parameter...

We document the role of independence for Central Bank of Republic of Turkey (CBRT) as it matters to successful implementation of monetary policy. We compare the implementation of monetary policy pre- and post-crisis periods within an empirical framework which allows us to measure the role of...

The equilibrium real exchange rate of Russian ruble is estimated for the period from the beginning of 1995 to the beginning of 2008. According to the methodological approach proposed by Edwards (1988) the equilibrium real exchange rate is a function of a set of fundamental variables (so-called...

The aim of this work is to analyze the factors responsible for RER appreciation in 2000—2006 years in Russia. Particularly, this study empirically evaluates how closely real exchange rate movements are related to movements in the relative price of nontraded to traded goods and to changes in...

The author examines the impact of the external shock resulting from recent global economic crisis on industrialization of least developed countries. LDCs are marginalized in international trade and output, yet they are highly integrated into the world economy, suffer from structural weaknesses,...

The paper discusses the influence of the global economic crisis on the Latvian economy. Using the system dynamics approach and models produced beforehand, various development scenarios of tax policy, householder crediting, and the job market are analyzed. Produced models allow to obtain...

We decompose global stock market volatility shocks into financial originated shocks and nonfinancial originated shocks. Global stock market volatility shocks arising from financial sources reduce substantially more global outputs and inflation than non-financial sources shocks. Financial stock...

We investigate the time-varying dynamics of global stock market volatility, commodity prices, domestic output and consumer prices. We find (i) stock market volatility and commodity price shocks impact each other and the economy in a gradual and endogenous adjustment process, (ii) impact of...

Zemlje Zapadnog Balkana (ZB) prostiru se na važnom geostrategijskom prostoru. Iz toga proističe njihova ekonomska, resursna i prometna pozicija, važna za Evropu i Evroazijski region. Jedna od značajnih karakteristika zemalja ZB je da se nalaze u nekoj predpristupnoj fazi, ili su već postale...

This paper provides brief analysis of selected macroeconomical indicators of US economy and tries to sketch out possible future development of these variables. The main conclusion is that United States may be really threatened by possible inflation pressures in the future, as well as by possible...