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This study examines what role the concept of endogenous uncertainty can have in explaining a phenomenon of international financial markets, the forward discount bias. The forward discount bias puzzle is unexplained by models assuming economic agents have full knowledge of the structure of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010878167
Three puzzles are closely related to the forward-bias puzzle and the failure of uncovered interest parity: (1) UIP failure is greater for short than long maturities, (2) forward bias is larger between developed than between developing countries and (3) there is no systematic forward bias in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010843442
We develop a general equilibrium model with intermediaries at the heart of international financial markets. Global intermediaries bargain with households and extract rents for providing access to foreign claims. The behavior of intermediaries, by tilting state prices, breaks monetary neutrality...
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Using a vector error correction model I test whether shocks in the funding liquidity conditions in the U.S. and Europe separately explain deviations from the covered interest parity (CIP) between the U.S. Dollar and the Mexican Peso. I find that: (1) Apparent deviations from the CIP seem to be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010370903
Arbitrage ensures that covered interest parity holds. The condition is central to price foreign exchange forwards and … interbank lending rates, and reflects the efficient functioning of markets. Normally, deviations from arbitrage, if any, last … seconds and reach a few basis points. After the Lehman bankruptcy, instead, arbitrage profits were large, persisted for months …
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spreads across currencies allow for substantial deviations from common measures of CIP without implying arbitrage … to persistent arbitrage opportunities in long-dated fixed income markets. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012417497