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building industry forecasting, estimated credit burden for Latvia and Latvian populations, for job market and labour migration …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008742994
This article examines the FDI in Romania using the autoregressive distributed lag model (ARDL) compared with conventional (error correction model) ECM. The results based on the bounds testing procedure implemented by Pesaran in 2001, confirm that a stable, long-run relationship exists between...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010813853
The presence of discontinuities in the January rounds of Philippine Unemployment Data from 1981-2006 is investigated by way of modeling these data as a noisy Compound Gauss-Markov Random Fields (CGMRF). The likelihood and prior hyper-parameters are respectively estimated with wavelet shrinkage...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014053163
Technology shocks are at the core of real business cycle models. Although tra- ditionaly described as exogenous, technology shocks can be the result of the endoge- nous decisions by economic agents under uncertainty. To demostrate it, in this paper I develop a dynamic stochastic general...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005731606
This study develops and uses for forecast a small-scale macro-econometric model of the Nigerian economy. The effects of three policy scenarios built around the assumptions of the changes that the Central Bank of Nigeria is likely to make to the Monetary Policy Rate are proposed and analyzed....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010781950
, describes additional indexes. The method is offered for using both in forecasting and in teaching. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008753069
market and labor migration system dynamic explanatory and forecasting model, based on it; to forecast the most important … processes. In such circumstances market forecasting with quantitative methods is problematic. One approach is to simulate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008805043
The purpose of the present paper is to review the sources of France's trade surplus in recent years and to attribute trade balance movements strictly to those determinants of trade flows suggested by economic theory. These determinants are price and/or cost developments, and demand in France and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005626847
In this paper I propose a dynamic stochastic general quilibrium model that includes many of Schumpeter’s ideas about growth and business cycles. In this model, technology advances are due to the introduction of vertical innovations by entrepreneurs who are funded by banks. The model is solved...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005790298
For Latvia with incoming into the European Union big opportunities in the international markets have opened. Paper purpose is to investigate influence of international integration processes on development of economy of Latvia. In paper various indicators of a national economy before and after...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008855257