We analyze the impact of price stability-oriented monetary strategies (inflation targeting - IT - and constraining exchange rate arrangements) on inflation persistence using a time-varying coefficients framework in a panel of 68 countries (1993-2013). We show that explicit IT has a stronger...

The puzzle of Feldstein and Horioka (1980) stems from the early eighties: the authors identified the correlation between a country's savings-to-GDP and investment-to-GDP ratio as a measure of international capital mobility. By using a cross-section analysis they concluded that the long-awaited...

The unemployment rates of then-communist Central European countries were unnaturally low because of manipulated data and latent, "intra-firm" unemployment. As the transition of these states is now more than two decades ago, the question of how the NAIRU evolved since then arises. Because of the...

A cikk bevezetést nyújt az időben változó együtthatójú lineáris ökonometriai modellek megoldási módozataiba és elemzi ökonometriai képességeiket. Elsőként az állapot-tér modellkeretben működő Kalman-szűrőt és a hozzá szorosan kapcsolódó (ám kevéssé ismert)...

We study a family of models of tax evasion, where a flat-rate tax finances only the provision of public goods, neglecting audits and wage differences. We focus on the comparison of two modeling approaches. The first is based on optimizing agents, who are endowed with social preferences, their...

Nowadays financial institutions due to regulation and internal motivations care more intensively on their risks. Besides previously dominating market and credit risk new trend is to handle operational risk systematically. Operational risk is the risk of loss resulting from inadequate or failed...

Studying all possible pairs of eleven major currencies and eleven portfolios in 1976-2008 we show that, when there is no leverage, carry trade is significantly profitable for most currency pairs and portfolios. Positive returns do not diminish in time providing a strong case against the...

This paper studies the transmission of monetary policy to macroeconomic variables in three new EU Member States in comparison with that in the euro area with structural time-varying coefficient vector autoregressions. In line with the Lucas Critique reduced-form models like standard VARs are not...