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from internet search queries performed on the search engine Google. The forecasting performance of the Google Inflation …, Survey of Professional Forecasters, and the Michigan Survey. While useful in developing models of forecasting inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009647210
, are relevant to forecasting economic growth and stock returns, and whether they contain information that is orthogonal to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009647399
limited to short-term predictions, the value of Google data for forecasting purposes is episodic, and the improvements in …Data on Google searches help predict the unemployment rate in the U.S. But the predictive power of Google searches is … forecasting accuracy are only modest. The results, obtained by (pseudo) out-of-sample forecast comparison, are robust to a state …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012037588
There are over 3 billion searches globally on Google every day. This report examines whether Google search queries can … information contained in Google search queries, the report compares a simple predictive model of unemployment to a model that … contains a variable, Google Index, formed from Google data. In addition, cross-correlation analysis and Granger-causality tests …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012037651
In this report we document the ETLAnow project. ETLAnow is a model for forecasting with big data. At the moment, it … predicts the unemployment rate in the EU-28 countries using Google search data. This document is subject to updates as the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012037674
There are over 3 billion searches globally on Google every day. This report examines whether Google search queries can … information contained in Google search queries, the report compares a simple predictive model of unemployment to a model that … contains a variable, Google Index, formed from Google data. In addition, cross-correlation analysis and Granger-causality tests …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010987124
Messung der Google-Suchaktivität und illustriert die Leistungsfähigkeit der Methode in der gegenwärtigen komplexen …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010331484
-Millionen-Grenze. Nach Prognosen unter Verwendung von Google-Internetzugriffsstatistiken bleibt es aber im Vorfeld der Bundestagswahlen in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010331501
surpassing the four-million mark. Yet according to forecasts based on Google search statistics, in all likelihood the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011601278
. Diese Einschätzung basiert auf einem neuen methodischen Konzept, das Google-Aktivitätsdaten für die kurzfristige Prognose …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011602014