Summary This report aims to analyse the regional trade effects of Croatia’s accession to the EU and simultaneous exit from the CEFTA agreement on 1st July 2013. The Global Simulation Model (GSIM) as proposed by Francois and Hall (2003) is being applied. As the change in Croatian tariff...

Summary Industrial policies in the EU have markedly shifted towards ‘horizontal’ measures and framework polices. The sustained de-industrialisation of several European economies and a general perception that countries with a strong manufacturing base emerged from the crisis in a strengthened...

The report analyses recent economic developments and short- and medium-term development prospects, covering the countries of Central and Eastern Europe and Southeast Europe including Turkey, together with Russia, Ukraine, Kazakhstan and China. Separate chapters present an overview of...

After a period of exceptionally high growth in the whole region of Central, East and Southeast Europe in the past two years, there has been some slowdown in GDP growth. Nevertheless growth remains largely robust. In particular the new member states of the EU (NMS) appear to be largely decoupled...

The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies (wiiw) expects GDP in Central, East and Southeast Europe (CESEE) to pick up speed and grow on average by 2-3% over the forecast period 2014-2016 a major driving force rooted in an upward reversal of public and private investment. The...

Political turmoil and early elections in Bulgaria (by Rumen Dobrinsky; pp. 1-4) Keywords Bulgaria, elections Countries covered Bulgaria Topics Other A revival of industrial policy as a growth model for Russia? (by Peter Havlik; pp. 5-6) Keywords industrial policy, growth model Countries covered...

Russian Federation GDP growth slows down (by Peter Havlik) Countries covered Russian Federation Albania integrating into the Balkans (by Mario Holzner) Countries covered Albania Bosnia and Herzegovina shrinking donations, more foreign investment (by Josef Pöschl) Countries covered Bosnia and...

Ukraine, the European Union and EU Eastern enlargement (by Vasily Astrov) Countries covered Ukraine, European Union Household tax compliance in Central, East and Southeast Europe (by Edward Christie and Mario Holzner) Countries covered SEE, CEE Optimal currency areas in transition (by Vladimir...

Croatia’s EU membership and the dilemma of state aid (by Roman Stöllinger; pp. 1-7) Keywords state aid, industrial policy, shipyards Countries covered Croatia Topics Macroeconomic Analysis and Policy Panel data analysis of the CEECs tracing growth determinants over time (by Doris Hanzl-Weiss;...

Albania agnostic growth forecast (by M. Holzner; pp. 1-2) Keywords economic forecasts, GDP growth, inflation Countries covered Albania Topics Macroeconomic Analysis and Policy Bosnia and Herzegovina economic recovery and new political constellation (by J. Pöschl; pp. 3-5) Keywords economic...