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Purpose – This study aims to examine the stock returns distributions in ten countries in the periods before and after the global financial crisis (GFC) to evaluate how well the empirical distributions conformed to the extreme value theory (EVT) which underlies a family of risk management...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010709743
This paper examines several key global market conditions, such as a proxy for market uncertainty and measures of interbank funding stress, to assess financial volatility and the likelihood of crisis. Using Markov regime-switching techniques, it shows that the Lehman Brothers failure was a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008460596
The financial turmoil of the late 1990s prompted a broad search for tools and techniques for detecting and preventing financial crises, and more recent episodes of instability have high lighted the importance of continuous monitoring of financial systems as a tool for preventing crises. This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005590915
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011475596
The global financial crisis has renewed policymakers' interest in improving the policy framework for financial stability, and an open question is to what extent and in what form should financial stability reports be part of it. We examine the recent experience with central banks' financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009401194
In this paper, we use the extreme value theory (EVT) framework to analyze contagion risk across the international banking system. We test for the likelihood that an extreme shock affecting a major, systemic U.K. bank would also affect another large local or foreign counterpart, and vice-versa....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005768965
The aim of the presented study was to assess the quality of VaR forecasts in various states of the economic situation … movements. While in the pre-crisis period the results were satisfactory, in the period of crisis VaR forecasts were too often …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012302139
In this paper potential financial linkages between liquidity and bank solvency measures in advanced economies and emerging market (EM) bond and stock markets are analyzedduring the latest crisis. A multivariate GARCH model is estimated in order to gauge the extent of co-movements of these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008528671
of Value at Risk (VaR) and Expected Shortfall (ES) for high quantiles of return distributions. The approach is suitable …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011503775
A structural vector autoregression model is developed to analyze the dynamics of bond spreads among a sample of mature and developing countries during periods of financial stress in the last decade. The model identifies and quantifies the contribution on bond spreads from global market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005769174