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The experience of past financial market turmoil suggests that in addition to eroding investor wealth, the severe consequences of rare extreme market events can spillover and impair the broader real economies. In this context, this paper is an evaluation of the methodological and empirical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013183970
During the Global Financial Crisis, regulators imposed short-selling bans to protect financial institutions. The rationale behind the bans was that "bear raids", driven by short-sellers, would increase the individual and systemic risk of financial institutions, especially for institutions with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010226885
The catastrophic failures of risk management systems in 2008 bring to the forefront the need for accurate and flexible estimators of market risk. Despite advances in the theory and practice of evaluating risk, existing measures are notoriously poor predictors of loss in high-quantile events. To...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013100621
The paper examines the relationships among market assets during stressful times, using two recently proposed econometric modeling techniques for tail risk measurement: the extreme downside hedge (EDH) and the extreme downside correlation (EDC). We extend both measures taking into account the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012839210
We propose new systematic tail risk measures constructed using two different approaches. The first extends the canonical downside beta and co-moment measures, while the second is based on the sensitivity of stock returns to innovations in market crash risk. Both tail risk measures are associated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012977194
This paper investigates whether multivariate crash risk (MCRASH), defined as exposure to extreme realizations of multiple systematic factors, is priced in the cross-section of expected stock returns. We derive an extended linear model with a positive premium for MCRASH and we empirically confirm...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012585546
This paper extends the extreme downside correlation (EDC) and extreme downside hedge (EDH) methodology to model the interdependence in the sensitivity of assets to the downside risk of other financial assets under severe firm-level and market conditions. The model is applied to analyze both...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012293248
This paper investigates whether multivariate crash risk is priced in the cross- section of expected stock returns. Motivated by a theoretical asset pricing model, we capture the multivariate crash risk of a stock by a combined measure based on its expected shortfall and its multivariate lower...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011993538
We propose an innovative asymmetric exceedance-time model with optimal thresholds. This model examines the impact of extreme downside and upside shocks and determines how the duration between past and present extreme shocks affects the dependent variable. We use extreme value theory...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012950125
One important source of systemic risk can arise from asset commonality among financial institutions. This indirect interconnection may occur when financial institutions invest in similar or correlated assets and it is also described as overlapping portfolios. In this paper, we propose a new...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013373564