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We explore the relationship between sticky wages and risk. Like operating leverage, sticky wages are a source of risk for the firm. Firms, industries, regions, or times with especially high or rigid wages are especially risky. If wages are sticky, then wage growth should negatively forecast...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009697776
In standard production models wage volatility is far too high and equity volatility is far too low. A simple modification - sticky wages due to infrequent resetting together with a CES production function - leads to both (i) smoother wages and (ii) higher equity volatility. Furthermore, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009625907
This paper studies the long-run relationship between consumption, asset wealth and income in Germany, based on data from 1980 to 2003. While earlier studies – mostly for the Anglo- Saxon economies – have generally documented that departures of these three variables from their common trend...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010261168
In this paper, I present a theory of dynamic economic growth, business cycles, and asset pricing that integrates (1) Marx's idea (and emphasized by Klein) of a two-class heterogeneity of the ownership structure of physical capital and human capital in a capitalist society, (2) Keynes' idea of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005846603
This paper analyses the conduct of monetary policy in an environment where households' desire to amass precautionary savings is influenced by fluctuations in the volatilities of disturbances that hit the economy. It uses a simple New Keynesian model with external habit formation that is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013118950
We develop an asset pricing model with external habit formation. The model predicts that the effect of consumption shocks on the equity premium depends on the business cycle. We test this empirical implication using a VAR model of the U.S. postwar economy whose parameters are estimated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013109086
We analyze optimal monetary policy and its implications for asset prices, when aggregate demand has inertia and responds to asset prices with a lag. If there is a negative output gap, the central bank optimally overshoots aggregate asset prices (asset prices are initially pushed above their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013093040
This paper studies the relationship between consumption and assets wealth based on the concept of cointegration. The analysis focuses on French data on the 1987 to 2006 period. This relationship is expressed in two ways: Marginal Propensity to Consume approach and Elasticity approach. Three...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013150899
We develop a competitive equilibrium model of leverage and industry dynamics absent of equity holders' commitment to future debt levels. Shareholders determine the debt adjustment together with production, entry and exit decisions in response to firm-specific technology shocks. Non-commitment...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012834653
The paper introduces a portfolio-based Keynesian dynamic stochastic general disequilibrium model. It is an endogenous phase-switching macroeconomic model of risky investment where the rational expectation is applied in the financial market with three financial instruments of stocks, credits, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012839941