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cointegration tests show that the long-run relationship between excess money growth and inflation holds if longer runs of data are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014558771
This paper provides evidence for a low frequency relationship between unemployment, inflation and the nominal interest rate. I show that in the United States from 1959.1 to 1991.3, the unemployment rate, the inflation rate and the federal funds rate can be modelled as non stationary time series...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005792534
bounds test for cointegration, Johansen and Juselius (1990) multivariate cointegration test, Granger causality …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011112036
Theoretical study identifying one modality with conditions necesary for the financial stabilization of an inherently unstable system; and 5040 other unstable dynamic modes. It draws on knowledge made available by the academic field of Control Engineering.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005125628
This paper attempts a resolution of the Fisher effect puzzle in terms of estimator choice. Using both short-term and long-term interest rates for 14 OECD countries, we find ample evidence supporting the existence of a long-run Fisher effect in which interest rates move oneto- one with inflation....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005656667
In this paper we examine tests for cointegration which allow for the possibility of regime shifts. We propose augmented … Dickey-Fuller (ADF) and Phillips type tests designed to test the null of no cointegration against the alternative of … cointegration in the presence of a possible regime shift. In particular we consider cases where the intercept and/or slope …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011940524
In this paper we examine tests for cointegration which allow for the possibility of regime shifts. We propose augmented … Dickey-Fuller (ADF) and Phillips type tests designed to test the null of no cointegration against the alternative of … cointegration in the presence of a possible regime shift. In particular we consider cases where the intercept and/or slope …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005688254
I propose an econometric model that improves upon existing methods of estimating the natural rate of unemployment (NAIRU) by using information contained in the trend of productivity growth. My approach enhances the recently proposed model of Staiger, Stock and Watson (1997) in several respects....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004963765
employing the Kalman filter. The time-varying cointegration parameters suggest that the security measures indeed impacted price …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010356541
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013364916