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When testing a null hypothesis H0: θ=θ0 in a Bayesian framework, the Savage–Dickey ratio (Dickey, 1971) is known as a specific representation of the Bayes factor (O’Hagan and Forster, 2004) that only uses the posterior distribution under the alternative hypothesis at θ0, thus allowing for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011073847
For numerous models, it is impossible to conduct an exact Bayesian inference. There are many cases where the derivation of the posterior distribution leads to intractable calculations (due to the fact that this generally involves intractable integrations). The Bayesian computational literature...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011073850
Nous nous intéressons à la sélection bayésienne de variables en régression linéaire. Nous en abordons tous les aspects afin de fournir au lecteur un guide précis. Nous étudions successivement les cas où les loi a priori sur les paramètres des modèles sont informatives et non...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011074174
This thesis presents contributions to the Monte Carlo methodology used in Bayesian statistics. The Bayesian framework is one of the main approaches to statistics and includes a rich methodology to perform inference and model choice. However, as statistical models become more realistic and drift...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011074669
The article discusses the views of statistics professors Andrew Gelman and Christian P. Robert about the intemperate anti-Bayesian statement appeared on the book of probability theory by mathematician William Feller. It notes that they explore Feller's words along with similar remarks by others...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011162103
The missionary zeal of many Bayesians of old has been matched, in the other direction, by an attitude among some theoreticians that Bayesian methods were absurd—not merely misguided but obviously wrong in principle. We consider several examples, beginning with Feller's classic text on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011162134
In 1996, Propp and Wilson introduced coupling from the past (CFTP), an algorithm for generating a sample from the exact stationary distribution of a Markov chain. In 1998, Fill proposed another so–called perfect sampling algorithm. These algorithms have enormous potential in Markov Chain Monte...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011162138
Reversible jump methods are the most commonly used Markov chain Monte Carlo tool for exploring variable dimension statistical models. Recently, however, an alternative approach based on birth-and-death processes has been proposed by Stephens for mixtures of distributions. We show that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011166499
The choice of the summary statistics in Bayesian inference and in particular in ABC algorithms is paramount to produce a valid outcome. We derive necessary and sufficient conditions on those statistics for the corresponding Bayes factor to be convergent, namely to asymptotically select the true...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011166507
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010905096