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We estimate a three-region (DE-REA-RoW) structural macroeconomic model, and we provide a counterfactual on how nominal exchange rate flexibility would have affected the German trade balance (TB) by simulating the shocks of the estimated model under a counterfactual flexible exchange rate regime....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011983671
During the first two years of monetary union, the euro's weakness surprised most market participants. Explanations … empirical analysis showing that terms-of-trade and saving/investment behaviour seem to have driven the euro exchange rate over … view that towards the end of 2000, the euro was significantly undervalued ...<BR><P>Pendant les deux premières années de l …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005045928
We study the effects of short- and longer-term U.S. interest rates on risk taking in the global market for U.S. dollar …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012899125
sheet policy in the US vis-à-vis the euro area and Japan affects the supply of international US dollar loans by global banks … liquidity would be offset by an expansionary effect from a continued supply of US dollar loans by euro area and Japanese banks …. Our empirical findings support the view that the contractionary effect of US monetary normalization on global dollar …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011650136
We develop a general equilibrium model with intermediaries at the heart of international financial markets. Global intermediaries bargain with households and extract rents for providing access to foreign claims. The behavior of intermediaries, by tilting state prices, breaks monetary neutrality...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011877302
Foreign banks' lending to firms in emerging market economies (EMEs) is large and denominated primarily in U.S. dollars. This creates a direct connection between U.S. monetary policy and EME credit cycles. We estimate that over a typical U.S. monetary easing cycle, EME borrowers face a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011764597
We propose a "debt view" to explain the dominant international role of the dollar and provide broad empirical support … suggest that the dollar fits this description better than all major currencies, especially for longer horizons. The debt view … can jointly explain the fall and the rise of the dollar in international debt markets over the last two decades …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011900333
We estimate a three-region (DE-REA-RoW) structural macroeconomic model, and we provide a counterfactual on how nominal exchange rate flexibility would have affected the German trade balance (TB) by simulating the shocks of the estimated model under a counterfactual flexible exchange rate regime....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012018234
Not since the Great Depression have monetary policy matters and institutions weighed so heavily in commercial, financial, and political arenas. Apart from the eurozone crisis and global monetary policy issues, for nearly two years all else has counted for little more than noise on a relative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010286538
that the ECB may well stand out positively when compared to other important euro-area or national authorities involved in … managing the euro crisis, but that in general the bank did "too little, too late" to prevent the euro area from slipping into … excessively optimistic, and that proposals featuring the central bank as the euro’s savior through even more radical employment of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011349470