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In this essay, I argue about the relevance and the ultimate unity of the Bayesian approach in a neutral and agnostic manner. My main theme is that Bayesian data analysis is an effective tool for handling complex models, as proven by the increasing proportion of Bayesian studies in the applied...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008683492
the thorough coverage of testing problems and the construction of both estimation and testing noninformative priors based …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010706449
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010861573
Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) have become a essential tool for the analysis of complex stochastic models. Earlier, Grelaud et al. (2009) advocated the use of ABC for Bayesian model choice in the specific case of Gibbs random fields, relying on a inter-model sufficiency property to show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010706662
When testing a null hypothesis H0: θ=θ0 in a Bayesian framework, the Savage–Dickey ratio (Dickey, 1971) is known as a … constraints on the prior distributions. We completely clarify the measure-theoretic foundations of the Savage …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011073847
The choice of the summary statistics in Bayesian inference and in particular in ABC algorithms is paramount to produce a valid outcome. We derive necessary and sufficient conditions on those statistics for the corresponding Bayes factor to be convergent, namely to asymptotically select the true...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011166507
In this paper, we use Bayesian nonparametric learning to estimate the skill of actively managed mutual funds and also to estimate the population distribution for this skill. A nonparametric hierarchical prior, where the hyperprior distribution is unknown and modeled with a Dirichlet process...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011980531
We consider nonparametric estimation of a mixed discrete-continuous distribution under anisotropic smoothness conditions and possibly increasing number of support points for the discrete part of the distribution. For these settings, we derive lower bounds on the estimation rates in the total...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011895828
This discussion paper led to a publication in 'Computational Statistics & Data Analysis' 56(11), pp. 3398-1414.Important choices for efficient and accurate evaluation of marginal likelihoods by means of Monte Carlo simulation methods are studied for the case of highly non-elliptical posterior...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011377602
Strategic choices for efficient and accurate evaluation of marginal likelihoods by means of Monte Carlo simulation methods are studied for the case of highly non-elliptical posterior distributions. A comparative analysis is presented of possible advantages and limitations of different simulation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011380802