To what extent can the bootstrap be applied to conditional mean models – such as regression or time series models – when the volatility of the innovations is random and possibly non-stationary? In fact, the volatility of many economic and financial time series displays persistent changes and...

To what extent can the bootstrap be applied to conditional mean models | such as regression or time series models | when the volatility of the innovations is random and possibly non-stationary? In fact, the volatility of many economic and financial time series displays persistent changes and...

The aim of the paper is to go beyond the detection of outliers in multivariate time series, and to find regularities in the effect of special events on the series. The tool is a factor model in which the direction of every column of the loading matrix is identified, in contrast with Gaussian...