The definition seems clear. "A rogue trader is an employee authorised to make trades on behalf of his employer (subject to certain conditions) who makes unauthorised trades."But what does mean "subject to certain conditions"? In this paper, we tried to find a mathematical ground able to explain...

This study investigates how well weekly Google search volumes track and predict bank failures in the United States between 2007 and 2012, contributing to the expanding literature that exploits internet data for the prediction of events. Different duration models with time-varying covariates are...

The Australian Superannuation Guarantee Levy system (SGL) and the Age Pension are linked through the income and asset test of the Age Pension system. Variations in likely demands for full or partial Age Pensions will occur as variations occur in the amount of retirement benefits that members of...

Using an agent-based model (ABM) with fundamentalists and chartists, prone to develop bubbles and crashes, we demonstrate the usefulness of direct market intervention by a policy maker, documenting strong performance in preventing bubbles and drawdowns and augmenting significantly the welfare of...

In light of the COVID 19 crisis, the Federal Reserve has carried out stress tests to assess if major banks have sufficient capital to ensure their viability should a new and perhaps unprecedented crisis emerge. The Fed argues that the scenarios underpinning these stress tests are severe but...

The work introduces the concept of a new risk measure VaR in a square (VaR(2)) and displays the formula for calculating it. It turns out that to calculate the VaR (2), it is sufficient to calculate a normal measure of risk VaR , with a certain changed confidence probability.The ratio of risk...

The present-day retirees may not be as well off as they expect to be during their retired life. Given the current state of the world – higher life expectancy, close to zero real interest rate and the economic turmoil caused by the Covid-19 pandemic, a superannuation fund as large as $545,000...

We examine the private information associated with insider trades using a Chinese data set. Insider buys positively forecast individual stock returns and insider sales negatively forecast individual stock returns. Classifying insiders as corporate managers and institutional investors, we find...

On August 11, 2015, China revamped its procedure for setting the official central parity of the renminbi (RMB) against the US dollar. Our empirical investigation suggests that the intertemporal dynamics of China's central parity shifted after this policy change, though the deviation of the RMB...

Cryptocurrencies have entered the economy as alternative money, as speculation objects, and as utility tokens for innovative service-platforms. Predictions are numerous. While some predict that their value will skyrocket, others predict their collapse. Some predict them to completely transform...