This paper aims to provide a trading framework approach with an evidence-based set of trading signals and risk-reward metrics that identify the optimal way to express a macroeconomic view in the U.S Treasury market. The paper develops the trading framework which captures the two principal...

Traditional exposure measures focus on direct exposures to evaluate the losses an institution is exposed to upon the default of a counterparty. Since the Global Financial Crisis of '07/'08, indirect exposures via common asset holdings are increasingly recognized too. Yet direct and indirect...

Sudden market crashes can wipe out a significant part of individuals' wealth. The purpose of this paper is to assess the impact on retirement savings by taking into account both the Knightian risk arising from market volatility under normal market conditions as well as the Knightian uncertainty...

We investigate regulations intended to stop managers from privately disclosing corporate information to analysts in a setting with enhanced potential to isolate regulatory effects: the European Union (EU) Market Abuse Directive (MAD), a common regulation implemented by member states with varying...

The work introduces the concept of a new risk measure VaR in a square (VaR(2)) and displays the formula for calculating it. It turns out that to calculate the VaR (2), it is sufficient to calculate a normal measure of risk VaR , with a certain changed confidence probability.The ratio of risk...

Promoting credit services to small and medium-size enterprises (SMEs) has been a perennial challenge for policy makers globally due to high information costs. Recent fintech developments may be able to mitigate this problem. By leveraging big data or digital footprints on existing platforms,...

On August 11, 2015, China revamped its procedure for setting the official central parity of the renminbi (RMB) against the US dollar. Our empirical investigation suggests that the intertemporal dynamics of China’s central parity shifted after this policy change, though the deviation of the RMB...

In light of the COVID 19 crisis, the Federal Reserve has carried out stress tests to assess if major banks have sufficient capital to ensure their viability should a new and perhaps unprecedented crisis emerge. The Fed argues that the scenarios underpinning these stress tests are severe but...

Using an agent-based model (ABM) with fundamentalists and chartists, prone to develop bubbles and crashes, we demonstrate the usefulness of direct market intervention by a policy maker, documenting strong performance in preventing bubbles and drawdowns and augmenting significantly the welfare of...