MONASH models are descended from Johansen's 1960 model of Norway. The first MONASH model was ORANI, used in Australia's tariff debate of the 1970s. Johansen's influence combined with institutional arrangements in their development gave MONASH models distinctive characteristics, facilitating a...

Trade Theory, Analytical Models and Development, comprises 11 essays offering new contributions on the following topics: trade and wages; factor endowments, factor mobility and political economy of trade; optimality of tariffs; measurement of welfare; customs union theory; endogenous mergers and...

Simulations with dynamic, single country, CGE models typically imply that reductions in domestic demand, e.g. a cut in investment, generate increases in exports and reductions in imports facilitated by real depreciation. However, currently in the U.S. a large reduction in investment is occurring...

Australia is faced with a comprehensive package of changes to its indirect tax system, including the introduction of a GST. The Government’s only quantitative analysis in formulating the package employed PRISMOD, an archaic input‐output price model. PRISMOD sheds dim light on a very limited...

President Obama's National Export Initiative is targeted at doubling U.S. exports between 2010 and 2015. We apply USAGE to quantify what the NEI would need to do to foreign import-demand curves and domestic export-supply curves to achieve this target. USAGE is a dynamic economy-wide model of the...

ExxonMobil is undertaking an LNG project in Papua New Guinea (PNG) with setup expenditures in 2010-2012 of $A12 billion and annual export revenue averaging $A4 billion (2010 prices) over 2013-2042. These are huge numbers relative to PNG's GDP and exports ($A10 billion and $A6 billion in 2010)....

We derive formulas for the optimal tariff rate in four theoretical models. We start with a model in which industries are competitive and then successively allow for: monopoly pricing by export industries, revenue-replacement costs and cold-shower effects. The theoretical formulas accurately...

Computable general equilibrium (CGE) models can be used to generate detailed forecasts of output growth for commodities/industries and thereby provide baselines from which to calculate the effects of policy changes. In this article, we assess a CGE forecasting method that has been applied in...