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This paper evaluates the predictive performance of machine learning techniques in estimating time-varying betas of US stocks. Compared to established estimators, tree-based models and neural networks outperform from both a statistical and an economic perspective. Random forests perform the best...
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In this paper we study the stochastic behavior of the prices and volatilities of a sample of six of the most important commodity markets and we compare these properties to those of the equity market. We observe a substantial degree of heterogeneity in the behavior of the series. Our findings...
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We study factor pricing and market integration across major asset classes. Factor models specializing in one asset class have limited pricing power for other asset classes. Thus, we reject perfect market integration. However, an optimal integrated factor model across asset classes can...
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