This paper presents a generalized autoregressive distributed lag (GADL) model for conducting regression estimations that involve mixed-frequency data. As an example, we show that daily asset market information - currency and equity mar- ket movements - can produce forecasts of quarterly...

Empirical studies often find significant and positive R&D spillovers across firms. In this note, we incorporate this spillover effect into a scale-invariant quality-ladder model. We find that the modified model features multiple steady states (i) a high-R&D steady state, (ii) a low-R&D steady...

In this paper, we re-examine the profitability of technical analysis using the Reality Check of White (2000, Econometrica) that corrects the data snooping bias. Comparing to previous studies, we study a more complete “universe” of trading techniques, including not only simple trading rules...

It is found in Lee (2000) and Rabe-Hesketh et al. (2005) that the typical numerical-integral procedure suggested by Butler and Moffitt (1982) for the random effects probit model becomes biased when the correlation coefficient within each unit is relatively large. This could possibly explain why...

We construct a uni…ed framework to study under what conditions one of the three frequently observed organizational structures of international middle-product production may arise in equilibrium: (i) separation of upstream and downstream …firms with middle-product trade, (ii) vertical...

This paper investigates the time to first birth, treating coresidence with husband's parents and labor supply as endogenous and using representative data on Taiwanese married women born over 1933-1968. We utilize a full information maximum likelihood estimator for a duration model with...

The past 30 years have witnessed lower employment rates and lower hours worked per worker, and thus lower hours worked per person, in Europe relative to the US. European countries have more regulated labor market then the US. This paper envisages the role the labor market regulation plays on the...

This paper derives an analytic approximation formula for the likelihood function of the true random effects stochastic frontier model of Greene (2005) with a time span T = 2. Gaussian quadrature procedure and simulation-based method is not re- quired for the closed-form approach. Combining the...

This paper explores the outcome of non-cooperative decision making by elected politicians under transnational externalities. We re-examine the extent of a voter’s incentives for supporting politicians who are less green than the median voter, a phenomenon called “political race to the...

In this paper, we propose a Vuong (1989)-type model selection test for conditional moment inequality models. The test uses a new average generalized empirical likelihood (AGEL) criterion function designed to incorporate full restriction of the conditional model. We also introduce a new...