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Fiscal policy has become quite controversial in the post-Keynesian era, the debate over the Obama stimulus package being a contentious recent example. Some pundits go so far as to take the position that macroeconomic theory has failed to meaningfully progress in terms of providing useful...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010270872
In this paper we analyze the power of various indicators to predict growth rates of aggregate production using real-time data. In addition, we assess their ability to predict turning points of the economy. We consider four groups of indicators: survey data, composite indicators, real economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010273164
integrated global financial markets. Third, how costly are recessions that followed these types of crises? Although the latest … comparisons indicate that recessions associated with periods of deep financial disruptions result in much larger declines in real …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010273680
The relationship between recessions and productivity has been the focus of an important body of theoretical and … productivity in the aftermath of recessions. Our method allows us to distinguish between frontier technology and (in …-)efficiency effects of recessions. We present international evidence for a panel of 70 countries for the 1960-2000 period. Our results …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010277823
This paper analyzes the long-run relationship between output collapses-defined defined as GDP falling substantially below trend - and total factor productivity (TFP), using a panel of 71 developed and developing countries during the period 1960-2003 to identify episodes of output collapse and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010278252
How do severe recessions, such as those brought about by the Global Financial Crisis or the COVID-19 pandemic, affect … the composition of energy generation between green and dirty sources? Does creative destruction during recessions result … in a sustained greening of the energy mix? The empirical analysis presented in this paper highlights that recessions and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014528954
Workers who enter the labor market during recessions experience lasting earnings losses, but the role of non … labor market entry during recessions generates a 5 percent reduction in earnings cumulated over the first decade of …-pay amenities. Purely pecuniary estimates can therefore overstate the welfare costs of labor market entry during recessions. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014533973
Although recessions negatively affect labor market outcomes, we find that individuals with greater cognitive skills … have been less affected by recessions since 2000 compared to those in the 1980s and 1990s. This result occurs despite a … employer-paid training can help explain the relative return to cognitive skills during recent recessions due to lower training …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014533992
Europe. Consistent with the view that firms use recessions as times to update skills, we find that training participation is … to be involved in public training programs during recessions, but not for the inactive, who may be affected by liquidity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014553744
Color poster with text, images, and graphs.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009460833