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This paper develops a Bayesian quantile regression model with time-varying parameters (TVPs) for forecasting inflation … inflation with the ability of quantile regression to model flexibly the whole distribution of inflation. In order to make our …-based indicators for the prediction of the conditional distribution of inflation in the euro area, both in the short and longer run …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013324581
time-varying causality tests indicate that inflation is not always a monetary phenomenon in Malaysia. Therefore, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008567639
attain local stationarity and bounded mean values. The model is applied to the analysis of inflation dynamics. Allowing for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011380995
In this paper, I apply univariate and vector autoregressive (VAR) models to forecast inflation in Vietnam. To … properties of inflation in Vietnam. Then, I compute the pseudo out-of-sample root mean square error (RMSE) as a measure of … forecasting models from among the different candidates. I find that VAR_m2 is the best monthly model to forecast inflation in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011663290
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013373850
ability to describe the US inflation data. Specifically, the model allows for long memory in the conditional mean formulation … yields a good description of the salient features, including skewness and heteroskedasticity, of the US inflation data …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010287778
ability to describe the US inflation data. Specifically, the model allows for long memory in the conditional mean formulation … yields a good description of the salient features, including skewness and heteroskedasticity, of the US inflation data …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010288125
This paper analyzes euro area and U.S. inflation dynamics since the beginning of the 1990s by estimating New Keynesian … hybrid Phillips curves with time-varying parameters. We measure inflation expectations by subjective forecasts from Consensus … results indicate that in both economic areas the inflation dynamics have steadily become more forward-looking over time. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012148177
ability to describe the US inflation data. Specifically, the model allows for long memory in the conditional mean formulation … yields a good description of the salient features, including skewness and heteroskedasticity, of the US inflation data … ; inflation ; long memory ; normal mixture …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003943625
ability to describe the US inflation data. Specifically, the model allows for long memory in the conditional mean formulation … yields a good description of the salient features, including skewness and heteroskedasticity, of the US inflation data … ; Inflation ; Long Memory ; Normal Mixture …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003921443