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The topic of volatility measurement and estimation is central to …nancial and more generally time series econo- metrics. In this paper, we begin by surveying models of volatility, both discrete and continuous, and then we summarize some selected empirical …ndings from the literature. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009372773
The dynamic dependencies in financial market volatility are generally well described by a long-memory fractionally integrated process. At the same time, the volatility risk premium, defined as the difference between the ex-post realized volatility and the market’s ex-ante expectation thereof,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009399368
Financial time series analysis has focused on data related to market trading activity. Next to the modeling of the conditional variance of returns within the GARCH family of models, recent attention has been devoted to other variables: first, and foremost, volatility measured on the basis of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009643126
Within the context of volatility timing and portfolio selection this paper considers how best to estimate a volatility model. Two issues are dealt with, namely the frequency of data used to construct volatility estimates, and the loss function used to estimate the parameters of a volatility...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009645704
This paper overviews maximum likelihood and Gaussian methods of estimating continuous time models used in finance. Since the exact likelihood can be constructed only in special cases, much attention has been devoted to the development of methods designed to approximate the likelihood. These...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009365186
This paper motivates and introduces a two-stage method of estimating diffusion processes based on discretely sampled observations. In the first stage we make use of the feasible central limit theory for realized volatility, as developed in Jacod (1994) and Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard (2002),...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009365479
The main idea of this research is to check the efficiency of the Black option pricing model on the basis of HF emerging market data. However, liquidity constraints - a typical feature of an emerging derivatives market - put severe limits for conducting such a study. That is the reason why...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008739735
This paper derives results for the temporal aggregation of multivariate GARCH processes in the general vector specification. It is shown that the class of weak multivariate GARCH processes is closed under temporal aggregation. Fourth moment characteristics turn out to be crucial for the low...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010837792
We extend the work of Goncalves & Meddahi (2009) who suggest using the iid and wild bootstrap for realized volatility instead of the asymptotic approach in order to estimate integrated volatility. We propose the block bootstrap and GARCH residual bootstrap approaches motivated by the persistence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010611090
This article examines option pricing performance using realized volatilities with or without handling microstructure noise, non-trading hours and large jumps. The dynamics of realized volatility is specified by ARFIMA(X) and HAR(X) models. Main results using put options on the Nikkei 225 index...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010614080