We develop a $C_{p}$ statistic for the selection of regression models with stationary and nonstationary ARIMA error term. We derive the asymptotic theory of the maximum likelihood estimators and show they are consistent and asymptotically Gaussian. We also prove that the distribution of the sum...

In this article we extend the results derived for scan statistics in Wang and Glaz (2014) for independent normal observations. We investigate the performance of two approximations for the distribution of fixed window scan statistics for time series models. An R algorithm for computing...

We propose a model diagnostic device to compare different linear and non linear parametric time series models of real GDP business cycle.The comparison appears of remarkable economic importance since different models have very different implications in term of long run persistence of negative...

This paper presents the Full Bayesian Significance Test for unit roots in auto-regressive time series, and compares it to other approaches on a benchmark of 14 econometric series.

This paper is devoted to the R-estimation problem for the parameter of a stationary ARMA model. The asymptotic uniform linearity of a suitable vector of rank statistics leads to the asymptotic normality of √n-consistent R-estimates resulting from the minimization of the norm of this vector. By...

Simulation estimators, such as indirect inference or simulated maximum likelihood, are successfully employed for estimating models where the likelihood function does not have a simple analytical expression. They adjust for the bias (inconsistency) produced by the estimation of an auxiliary model...