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The accuracy of real-time forecasts of macroeconomic variables that are subject to revisions may crucially depend on the choice of data used to compare the forecasts against. We put forward a flexible time-varying parameter regression framework to obtain early estimates of the final value of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010731620
In applied economic research computable general equilibrium [CGE] models in which the behavior of economic agents are modeled, are widely used. In many CGE models, the Linear Expenditure System [LES] is used to model behavior of the household sector. The disadvantage of LES is that the Engel...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010731621
A duration model based on the time on Unemployment Insurance (UI) benefits instead of a model based on the time till re-employment is more relevant from a cost-benefit perspective. The contribution of this paper is to extend the standard (mixed) Proportional Hazard model to account for an upper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010731622
A Q-derived polynomial is a univariate polynomial, defined over the rationals, with the property that its zeros, and those of all its derivatives are rational numbers. There is a conjecture that says that Q-derived polynomials of degree 4 with distinct roots for themselves and all their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010731623
In this note we show that the strong duality theorem of an unconstrained (generalized) geometric programming problem as defined by Peterson (cf.[1]) is actually a special case of a Lagrangian duality result. Contrary to [1] we also consider the case that the set C is compact and convex and in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010731624
Let $G = (V,E)$ be a graph. A partition $\pi = \{V_1, V_2, \ldots, V_k \}$ of the vertices $V$ of $G$ into $k$ {\it color classes} $V_i$, with $1 \leq i \leq k$, is called a {\it quorum coloring} if for every vertex $v \in V$, at least half of the vertices in the closed neighborhood $N[v]$ of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010731625
We argue in this paper that general ridge (GR) regression implies no major complication compared with simple ridge regression. We introduce a generalization of an explicit GR estimator derived by Hemmerle and by Teekens and de Boer and show that this estimator, which is more conservative,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010731626
In this study we investigate the desired level of recovery under various inventory control policies when the success of recovery is probabilistic. Recovery process is modelled as a single stage operation and recovery effort is represented by the expected time spent for it. The effect of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010731627
Using annual data on real Gross Domestic Product per capita of seventeen industrialized nations in the twentieth century the empirical relevance of shocks, trends and cycles is investigated. A class of neural network models is specified as an extension of the class of vector autoregressive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010731628
There is no abstract of this report
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010731629