xi, 87 p. : ill. A print copy of this thesis is available through the UO Libraries. Search the library catalog for the location and call number.

We find that investors' expectations of U.S. nominal yields, at different maturities and forecast horizons, exhibit significant time-variation during the Great Moderation. Nominal zero-coupon bond yields for the U.S. are used to fit the yield curve using a latent factor model. In the benchmark...

In a model of the New Keynesian Phillips Curve with two E-stable solutions we demonstrate through simulations that forward guidance can ensure the economy settles on the low persistence equilibrium. While market participants use sample autocorrelation learning, the Central Bank uses least...

The adaptive learning has primarily focused on decreasing gain learning and constant gain learning. As pointed out theoretically by Marcet and Nicolini (2003) and empirically by Milani (2007) an endogenous learning mechanism may explain key economic behaviors, such as recurrent hyperinflation or...

This paper provides a concise primer on the estimation of constant gain learning models. One practical concern in the estimation procedure is the initialization of the learning parameters. The popular approach in the literature relies on a training sample to estimate these quantities. We also...

Modern Bayesian tools aided by MCMC techniques allow researchers to estimate models with increasingly intricate dynamics. This paper highlights the application of these tools with an empirical assessment of optimal versus operational monetary policy rules within a standard New Keynesian...