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With seasonal adjustment one has to decide whether to seasonal adjust an aggregate like GDP directly or to sum up its seasonally adjusted components. This choice is usually driven by subjective motives or practical convenience. In the case of seasonal adjustment with chain-linked data one might...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011435390
The use of chain-linked methods reduces significantly the problem of price structure obsolescence present in fixed base environments. However, price updating introduces a new dimension that may produce confusion if not accounted for. Probably the most notorious difficulty generated by the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011113363
In 2005, European Union member countries began to calculate national account volume estimates using prices from the previous year, rather than from a fixed base year. For quarterly national accounts, the average of the total previous year – and not of the previous quarter – began to serve as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008740658
A continuous monitoring of the evolution of the economy is fundamental for the decisions of public and private decision makers. This paper proposes a new monthly indicator of the euro area real Gross Domestic Product (GDP), with several original features. First, it considers both the output side...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005498158
Circularity is a desirable property of a productivity index seldom satisfied in available bilateral indices, such as the Malmquist index. Within a setting of micro units belonging to groups with group-specific frontier technology, the bilateral Malmquist productivity index is investigated. Our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005577375
The use of chain-linked methods reduces significantly the problem of price structure obsolescence present in fixed base environments and it has been, therefore, adopted by many countries to measure GDP. The price updating it involves introduces a dimension new to those accustomed to the fixed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011112002
A continuous monitoring of the evolution of the economy is fundamental for the decisions of public and private decision makers. This paper proposes a new monthly indicator of the euro area real Gross Domestic Product (GDP), with several original features. First, it considers both the output side...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005557751
The paper estimates a large-scale mixed-frequency dynamic factor model for the euro area, using monthly series along with Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and its main components, obtained from the quarterly national accounts. The latter define broad measures of real economic activity (such as GDP...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005789536
In this paper we propose a methodology to estimate and forecast the GDP of the different regions of a country, providing quarterly profiles paper offers a new instrument for short degree of synchronicity among regional business cycles. Technically, we combine time series models with benchma...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009371386
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011339427