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An unfunded Social Security system faces a major risk, sometimes referred to as ‘political risk’. In order to account … properly for this risk, the paper considers a political process in which the support to the system is asked from each newborn …-generational redistribution, risk aversion, financial markets, governmental debt- on the political sustainability of a pay-as-you-go system is …
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This paper proposes a method for the welfare analysis of pay-as-you-go social security systems. We derive a formula for the welfare consequences of a permanent marginal change in the payroll tax rate that is valid under weak assumptions about the deep structure of the economy. Our approach...
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We model the optimal reaction of a public PAYG pension system to demographic shocks. We compare the ex-ante first best and second best solution of a Ramsey planner with full commitment to the outcome under simple third best rules that mimic the pension systems observed in the real world. The...
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