Gabriel, Vasco; Alexandre, Fernando; Bação, Pedro - Grupo de Estudos Monetários e Financeiros (GEMF), … - 2007
This paper argues that nonlinear adjustment may provide a better explanation of fluctuations in the consumption … financial markets. In fact, estimation of the system suggests that short-term deviations in the consumption-wealth ratio will … forecast either asset returns or consumption growth: the first when changes in wealth are transitory; the second when changes …