The intertemporal budget constraint of the government implies a relationship between a ratio of current liabilities to the primary deficit with future values of inflation, interest rates, GDP and narrow money growth and changes in the primary deficit. This relationship defines a natural measure...

Household finances are confidential and discussions are limited to a subset of peers. We collect representative survey data to examine whether interactions with inner and outer social circles influence return perceptions, expectations, and exposure to a widely known financial instrument in a...