Throughout the history man has considered gold as a precious metal and its forcast has always been important. Traditional methods of forcast, e.g.Regresion, ARIMA, Exponential Smoothing, Moving Average, and methods of this kind have been applied. Only recently Artificial Intelligence, Neural...

The paper suggests and develops a computational approach to improve hierarchical fuzzy clustering time-series analysis when accounting for high dimensional and noise problems in dynamic data. A Robust Weighted Distance measure between pairs of sets of Auto-Regressive Integrated Moving Average...

The COVID-19 pandemic has caused severe disruption to economic and financial activity worldwide. We assess what happened to the aggregate U.S. stock market during this period, including implications for both short and long-horizon investors. Using the model of Maheu, McCurdy and Song (2012), we...

Our day-to-day experience suggests that certain variables are local in their effects. The influence of such variables is limited within the boundaries of the spatial entity (district) where they are physically located. In contrast, the effects of some other variables are percolating or pervasive...

We discuss linear regression approaches to conditional Value-at-Risk and Average Value-at-Risk (Conditional Value-at-Risk, Expected Shortfall) risk measures. Two estimation procedures are considered for each conditional risk measure, one is direct and the other is based on residual analysis of...

The last two decades have witnessed an unprecedented growth of the Indian service sector. This paper aims to analyze the growth dynamics. This study intends to see whether the growth in FDI has any significant impact on the service sector growth and also investigates whether a growth in this...

This paper is an attempt to revisit the pioneering work of Riazuddin and Khan (2002). A complete business cycle has been elapsed (2002-2010) since their study, so there is need to review the results with additional information. This revisited attempt, based on a theoretically specified...

The purpose of the System Dynamics method is to study the relationship between structure and behavior in non-linear, dynamic systems. In such systems, the significance of various structural components to the behavior pattern exhibited, changes as the behavior unfolds. Changes in structural...

In countries where tools of economic control are immature and disabled due to totalitarian systems, macroeconomic analyses for aggregate quantities and relationships, such as total consumption, investment, and government expenditures represents a difficult task. The practice of aggregation...

In the first meta-study on the finance-growth nexus, we bridge the gap between Schumpeterian authors and sympathizers of Andersen & Tarp (2003). Over 20 fundamental characteristics that have influenced the debate over the last decades are examined. The empirical evidence is based on 196 outcomes...