Canada's international competitiveness has received increasing attention in recent years as exports have fallen short of expectations and Canada has lost market share. This paper asks whether the Bank of Canada's current effective exchange rate measure, the CERI, is still an accurate measure of...

Despite the fact that there is a substantial literature on the analysis of volatility spillovers between stock returns and domestic exchange rates, surprisingly, little empirical research has examined volatility spillovers between oil prices and emerging economies, where a clear gap of research...

Every initiative that potentially increases the effectiveness of monetary policy is welcome. The European Union’s Capital Markets Union (CMU) project is potentially a point in case, even though monetary policy is not a policy target of CMU. Increasingly developed capital markets in the EU are...

This article proposes a strategy to identify Syrian refugees in Turkey's Household Labour Force Survey (HLFS). Even though Turkey's HLFS contains information on the migrants' year of arrival to Turkey, it does not provide details on their nationalities. This unfortunate feature mixes Syrian...

We evaluate manufacturing firms' responses to changes in the real exchange rate (RER) using detailed firm-level data for a large set of countries for the period 2001-2010. We uncover the following stylized facts: In export-oriented emerging Asia, real depreciations are associated with faster...

This paper looks at the implications for monetary policy of the widespread adoption of artificial intelligence and machine learning, which is sometimes called the "fourth industrial revolution". The paper reviews experiences from the previous three industrial revolutions, developing a template...

This paper presents Bank of Canada staff's current assessment of the US neutral rate, along with a newly developed set of models on which that assessment is based. The overall assessment is that the US neutral rate currently lies in a range of 1.75 to 2.75 percent. This represents a decline of...

In this paper we document Canada's trade policy response to late-nineteenth- and earlytwentieth-century globalization. We link newly digitized annual product-specific data on the value of Canadian imports and duties paid from 1870-1913 to establishment-specific production and location...

In No Way Out: Persistent Government Interventions in the Great Contraction, editor Vincent R. Reinhart brings together an array of professional and academic authors to generate a narrative of the 2007–08 financial crisis, its causes, and likely recurrences.

For many decades the United States has enjoyed great economic success in international markets. In recent years, however, the competitivenessof many American goods and services has diminished.