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Rational Expectations (RE) models have two crucial dimensions: 1) agents correctly forecast future prices given all available information, and 2) given expectations, agents solve optimization problems and these solutions in turn determine actual price realizations. Experimental testing of such...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010630863
Recent studies suggest that the type of strategic environment or expectation feedback may have a large impact on whether the market learns the rational fundamental price. We present an experiment where the fundamental price experiences large unexpected shocks. Markets with negative expectation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009149168
We run a laboratory experiment that contributes to the finance literature on "return chasing behavior" studying how investors switch between mutual funds driven by past performance of the funds. The subjects in this experiment make discrete choices between several (2, 3 or 4) experimental funds...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010748410
This paper analyzes the internal divisional structure within an organization in the framework of incomplete contract theory. We use the framework of Aghion and Tirole (1997) and dene the managerial control structure as \sequence of search". A key feature of this paper which di erentiate it from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010826829
Traditional finance is built on the rationality paradigm. This chapter discusses simple models from an alternative approach in which financial markets are viewed as complex evolutionary systems. Agents are boundedly rational and base their investment decisions upon market forecasting heuristics....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005241738
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This paper develops the notion of a Large Type Limit (LTL) describing the dynamical behavior of heterogeneous markets with many trader types. It is shown that generic and persistent features of adaptive evolutionary systems with many trader types are well described by the large type limit....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005241749
Price fluctuations under adaptive learning in renewable resource markets such as fisheries are examined. Optimal fishery management with logistic fish population growth implies a backward-bending, discounted supply curve for bioeconomic equilibrium sustained yield. Higher discount rates bend...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005241750
We investigate asset pricing dynamics in an adaptive evolutionary asset pricing model with fundamentalists, trend followers and a market maker. Agents can choose between a fundamentalist strategy at positive information cost or choose a trend following strategy for free. Price adjustment is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005241751