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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005701729
using a variety of estimation procedures yield better forecasting results than the non-ARFIMA (AR, MA, ARMA and GARCH …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010765632
This paper introduces an order-driven market with heterogeneous investors, who submit limit or market orders according to their own trading rules. The trading rules are repeatedly updated via simple learning and adaptation of the investors. We analyze markets with and without learning and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010589894
this emerging market, our results have ramifications for modeling and forecasting returns, as well as for technical trading …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010583843
We consider a stochastic environment to study interactions among pollution growth, demographic changes, and economic growth. Drawing on the empirical findings of slow convergence patterns of pollution shocks (viz., with a long-memory), we build an analytical framework where stochastic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010712121
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008925120
In this paper we discuss different aspects of long memory behaviorand applicable parametric models. We discuss the confusion thatcan arise when the empirical autocorrelation function decreasesin an hyperbolic way.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008791569
This paper illustrates both analytically and empirically that stochastic long-memory in economic growth arises due to the presence of a long-memory in population growth. Specifically, we show that the long-run conditional mean and variances of economic growth are functions of stochastic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008643835
HAR components in the model improve the point forecasting accuracy while the introduction of asymmetric effects only leads …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009021695
This paper generalizes the standard long memory modeling by assuming that the long memory parameter d is stochastic and time varying: we introduce a STAR process on this parameter characterized by a logistic function. We propose an estimation method of this model. Some simulation experiments are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008793582