Reviewing the definition and measurement of speculative bubbles in context of contagion, this paper analyses the DotCom bubble in American and European equity markets using the dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) model proposed as on one hand as an econometrics explanation and on the other...

This paper shows that the LM statistic for testing first order serial correlation in regression models can be computed using the Kalman Filter. It is shown tha.t when there are missing observations, the LM statistic for this tesi is equivalent to the tesi statistic derived by Robinson (1985)...

The aim of this paper is to set out criteria for defining trend and seasonal components in a time series. The criteria are set up primarily in terms of properties involving prediction. Because a structural time series model is set up in terms of components of interest, the relevant information...