Potential output measures a country's attainable aggregate living standard and is thus one of the most important categories of economics. It is also a key indicator for monetary and fiscal policy. Despite its prominence, however, potential output is a difficult concept to pinpoint both...

Das globale Wirtschaftswachstum fiel in den ersten Monaten dieses Jahres nur sehr verhalten aus. Im Prognosezeitraum wird die Weltkonjunktur wieder Fahrt aufnehmen, insbesondere in den USA. Im Euroraum außerhalb Deutschlands hat sich der im Laufe des vergangenen Jahres begonnene...

This paper analyses the effects of commodity price shocks in a new Keynesian model. The focus is on the central bank's choice of inflation target and the degree of real wage rigidity. It turns out that using core inflation rather than headline inflation is the superior strategy. Targeting...

When the prices of important goods such as energy and food greatly increase, the ques-tion arises whether the impact on the various income groups differs. An analysis of the structure of consumption expenditure of different household groups does not yield significant differences in the effect of...

This paper analyses the Nairu in the Euro Area and the influence that hysteresis had on its development. Using the Kalman-filter technique we find that the Nairu has varied considerably since the early seventies. The Kalman-filter technique is applied here using explicit exogenous variables. In...

Potential output measures a country's attainable aggregate living standard and is thus one of the most important categories of economics. It is also a key indicator for monetary and fiscal policy. Despite its prominence, however, potential output is a difficult concept to pinpoint theoretically...

Fiscal austerity has not led to a return of confidence and it is not at all certain that the current crisis strategy can be sustained politically and will eventually succeed. Government bonds of crisis-hit countries have lost their safe asset status and high risk premiums are impairing monetary...

Fiscal policy in the Euro area is still dominated by austerity measures implemented under the institutional setting of the 'reformed' stability and growth pact, and the even stricter 'fiscal compact'. At the same time, calls for a more expansionary fiscal policy to overcome the economic crisis...

At a time with growing fears of excessive government debt and of overburdened future generations Swiss fiscal policy seems to be the virtuous role model to be followed. Whereas almost everywhere else government debt has been increasing dramatically after the global economic and financial crisis...

Der Aufschwung in Deutschland lässt auch die Steuereinnahmen deutlich steigen. Im Durchschnitt der Jahre 2014-2018 werden die Steuereinnahmen jährlich um 3,8 % zunehmen. Im Jahr 2018 ergibt sich damit gegenüber der Schätzung des Arbeitskreises "Steuerschätzungen" vom November 2013 ein...