Рассматриваются вопросы представления экономического процесса в виде замкнутой динамической системы. Обобщаются и систематизируются материалы по адаптации...

Sales forecasting is becoming increasingly complex, due to a range of factors, such as the shortening of product life cycles, increasingly competitive markets, and aggressive marketing. Often, forecasts are produced using a Forecasting Support System that integrates univariate statistical...

Purpose – The objective of this work is to develop a model that can be used for simulation of different parameters including price, subjected to different control strategies. Design/methodology/approach – The entire supply chain can be modelled by combining the transfer function into a...

Using a time series method called 'transfer function', this paper examines the effect of terrorism on tourism in Turkey. The results indicate that there exists a negative but small impact of terrorism, which is observed within approximately one year. However, terrorist attacks in Turkey have...

This paper reports results from a forecasting study for inflation, industrial output and exchange rates for India. We cannot reject the null hypothesis for linearity for all series used except for the growth rate of the foreign exchange series and our analysis is based on linear models, ARIMA...

The question often arises as to whether one can estimate a transfer function model using Stata. While Stata does not currently have a convenience command for doing so, this article will demonstrate that estimating such a model can be accomplished quite easily using Stata's arima command. The...